Matteo BARIGOZZI

Post-Doctoral Researcher
European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES) - Université Libre de Bruxelles

         

Contacts


Vita


Research Topics


  Papers published in Refereed Journals


Papers published  in Conference Proceedings


Working Papers






Current Projects


Teaching


Notes


Matlab Codes


Talks


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Contacts

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Office Address


Room S 12.127
ECARES - Université Libre de Bruxelles
44 Avenue Jeanne
B-1050 Brussels
Belgium






Postal Address

ECARES - Université Libre de Bruxelles
50 Avenue F.D. Roosevelt
CP 114
B-1050 Brussels
Belgium





Phone



+32 (0)2 650 33 75

mattebar






Email

matteo.barigozzi gmail.com  -  matteo.barigozziulb.ac.be


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Vita Top

Full CV

Past Research Positions


Researcher - Evolutionary Economics Group - Max Planck Institut für Ökonomik, Jena - 2008.

Researcher - Laboratory of Economics and Management - Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Pisa - 2006 - 2008.




Education

PhD Economics and Management - Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Pisa - 2008.


       Dynamic Factor Models - New Developments in Forecasting and Structural Identification Techinques - Supervisor: Marco Lippi


MSc Modeling and Simulation of Complex Realities - International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste - 2003.


BSc and MSc "Laurea" degree in Physics - Astrophysics - Universitá  degli Studi di Milano - 2002.





Visiting


Department of Quantitative Economics - Universiteit Maastricht - Maastricht - Feb 2010.


Columbia Business School - Columbia University - New York - Oct 2006 - Apr 2007.

Departamento de Estadí­stica - Universidad Carlos III - Madrid - Oct 2005 - Dec 2005.


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Research Topics
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Evolutionary dynamic factor models.

 Dynamic factor models and spectral analysis.

Nonfundamental representations of time series models.


Phenomenology of consumption behaviour.

International trade networks ( http://www.tradenet-it.tk/).





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Publications in Refereed Journals Top




The Multi-Network of International Trade: A Commodity-Specific Analysis,
(with G. Fagiolo and D. Garlaschelli), Physical Review E, 2010, 81(1).



Abstract:  We study the topological properties of the multi-network of commodity-specific trade relations among world countries over the 1992-2003 period, comparing them with those of the aggregate-trade network, known in the literature as the international trade network (ITN). We show that link-weight distributions of commodity-specific networks are extremely heterogeneous and (quasi) log-normality of aggregate linkweight distribution is generated as a sheer outcome of aggregation. Commodity-specific networks also display average connectivity, clustering and centrality levels very different from their aggregate counterpart. We also find that ITN complete connectivity is mainly achieved through the presence of many weak links that keep commodity-specific networks together, and that the correlation structure existing between topological statistics within each single network is fairly robust and mimics that of the aggregate network. Finally, we employ cross-commodity correlations between link weights to build taxonomies of commodities. Our results suggest that on the top of a relatively time-invariant “intrinsic” taxonomy (based on inherent between-commodity similarities), the roles played by different commodities in the ITN have become more and more dissimilar, possibly as the result of an increased trade specialization.




On the Distributional Properties of Household Consumption Expenditures. The Case of Italy,
(with L. Alessi, M. Capasso, G. Fagiolo), Empirical Economics, 2010, 38(3).


Abstract: In this paper we explore the statistical properties of the distributions of consumption expenditures for a large sample of Italian households in the period 1989-2004. Goodness-of-fit tests show that household aggregate (and age-conditioned) consumption distributions are not log-normal. Rather, their logs can be invariably characterized by asymmetric exponential-power densities. Departures from log-normality are mainly due to the presence of thick lower tails coexisting with upper tails thinner than Gaussian ones. The emergence of this irreducible heterogeneity in statistical patterns casts some doubts on the attempts to explain log-normality of household consumption patterns by means of simple models based on Gibrat's Law applied to permanent income and marginal utility.




On Approximating the Distributions of Goodness-of-Fit Test Statistics Based on the Empirical Distribution Function. The Case of Unknown Parameters,
(with L. Alessi, M. Capasso and G. Fagiolo),  Advances in Complex Systems, 2009, 12(2).


Abstract: This paper discusses some problems possibly arising when approximating via Monte-Carlo simulations the distributions of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on the empirical distribution function. We argue that failing to re-estimate unknown parameters on each simulated Monte-Carlo sample -- and thus avoiding to employ this information to build the test statistic -- may lead to wrong, overly-conservative testing. Furthermore, we present a simple example suggesting that the impact of this possible mistake may turn out to be dramatic and does not vanish as the sample size increases.


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Publications in Conference Proceedings Top




Dynamic Factor Models for Forecasting and Structural Identification,
Mathematisches Forschunginstitut Oberwolfach (MFO) Reports 2010, 05.



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Working Papers
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View my research on RePEc - SSRN - arXiv Author pages



Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission in a Structural Dynamic Factor Model,
(with A.Conti and M. Luciani),

 last version here .




Disentangling Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk for Large Panels of Assets,
(with C. Brownlees, G. Gallo, and D. Veredas),

last version here .

Also as ECARES working paper.




On the Sources of Euro Area Money Demand Stability: A Time-Varying Cointegration Analysis,
(with A. Conti),

last version here .

Also as ECARES working paper.





Nonfundamentalness in Structural Econometric Models: A Review,
(with L. Alessi and M. Capasso),

 last version here .

Also as European Central Bank working paper.





Optimal Penalization when Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Static Factor Models,
(with L. Alessi and M. Capasso),  Matlab code here,


last version here .


Also as ECARES working paper and European Central Bank working paper.






Immigrant's Legal Status, Permanence in the Destination Country and the Distribution of Consumption Expenditure,
(with B. Speciale),

ECARES working paper .





The Distribution of Consumption-Expenditure Budget Shares. Evidence from Italian Households,
(with L. Alessi, M. Capasso and G. Fagiolo),

European Central Bank working paper .

Also as Max Planck discussion paper on Economics and Evolution.



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Estimation and Forecasting in Large Datasets with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Dynamic Common Factors,
(with L. Alessi and M. Capasso),

 European Central Bank working paper .

























































 






























Current Projects

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Title
Co-author(s)


Volatility in Macro Panels.
Giovanni Motta

Smooth Forecasting of Evolutionary Panels. Giovanni Motta, Marco Lippi


Aggregation of Household Consumption Expenditures.
Alessio Moneta

Structural Dynamic Factor Models of the Euro Area.
Antonio Conti, Matteo Luciani


Trade Communities.
Giorgio Fagiolo, Giuseppe Mangioni
































































Teaching Top




From Sepetember 2010 I will be teaching at LSE as a lecturer in Statistics.



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Notes Top




On the Method of Social Sciences and Statistics

Advanced Calculus: 
Topology
Sequences
Euclidean Spaces
Series
Riemann-Stieltjes Integral
Continuity and Differentiability 
Second Order Derivatives and Extrema
Useful Integrals (handwritten)

 

Notes on Dynamic Factor Models   VERY OLD!!


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Codes
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MATLAB - Number of Static Factors in Approximate Factor Models

MATLAB - Toolbox for the Generalized Dynamic Factor Model version 1.3 (with M. Forni, R.Liška, C. Mathias)  


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Conferences and Workshops
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XVI Conference on Computational Economics and Finance - City University of London - July 2010.

Sir Clive Granger Memorial Conference - University of Nottingham - May 2010.


XV Spring Meeting of Young Economists - University of Luxembourg - April 2010.


Workshop on Semiparametric Modelling of Multivariate Economic Time Series With Changing Dynamics - Mathematisches Forschunginstitut Oberwolfach - January 2010.


IAP meeting - Katholieke Universiteit Leuven - October 2009.


Fourth Bruxelles-Waseda Seminar on Time Series and Financial Statistics - ENSAI, Rennes - June 2009.


Conference on Factor Structures for Panel and Multivariate Time Series Data - Universiteit Maastricht - September 2008.


XIV Conference on Computational Economics and Finance - Université Paris Sorbonne - June 2008.


Multivariate Volatility Models - Universidade do Algarve - Faro - October 2007.

XXVI International Symposium on Forecasting  - Santander - June 2006.

Italian Congress on Time Series - Villa Mondragone, Roma - April 2006.





Invited Seminars




Université libre de Bruxelles - ECARES - March 2010.

London School of Economics and Political Science- Statistics - March 2010.

Université libre de Bruxelles - Institut de Recherche en Statistique - November 2009.

Université catholique de Louvain-la-Neuve - CORE  - October 2009.

Universiteit Maastricht - Department of Quantitative Economics - July 2009.

Université libre de Bruxelles - Institut de Recherche en Statistique - December 2008.

Università degli Studi di Milano - Dipartimento di Matematica - April 2008.

ETH, Zürich - Chair of System Design - February 2008.

Max Planck Institute, Jena - Evolutionary Economics Group - January 2008.

Université libre de Bruxelles - ECARES  - November 2007.

 
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Last modified: Wed Jul 14 10:27:15 CEST 2010